Paper trading by default

Results

The honest numbers.

In a 10-year replay, the daily part made less than the S&P 500. Here’s the full picture, including what the replay leaves out.

Please read: past results don’t predict future ones. It can lose money. Nothing here is financial advice.

The replay

Ten years, the same rules the app uses.

We replayed exactly how the daily part trades, from November 2016 to November 2026, across 2,387 US stocks, starting with $50,000.

Daily part, a year
11.8%With spare cash in SPY
S&P 500, a year
14.9%Same 10 years
Worst drop
33.9%The S&P 500’s was 33.8%
Worst month
−12.8%Daily part, spare cash in SPY

Side by side

Return and worst drop.

Two ways of handling spare cash, next to the S&P 500.

Return a year

  • Daily part, spare cash in SPY 11.8%
  • Daily part, spare cash kept as cash 7.4%
  • S&P 500 14.9%

Worst drop

  • Daily part, spare cash in SPY 33.9%
  • Daily part, spare cash kept as cash 23.7%
  • S&P 500 33.8%
Replay resultsDrawn to scale from the replay’s numbers. A replay isn’t real trading.
Results of the 10-year replay next to the S&P 500
VersionReturn a yearWorst drop
Daily part, spare cash in SPY11.8%33.9%
Daily part, spare cash kept as cash7.4%23.7%
S&P 50014.9%33.8%

Why park cash in SPY?

It raised the return from 7.4% to 11.8% a year. It also made the worst drop deeper, 33.9% instead of 23.7%, because the account then rises and falls with the market.

How the replay worked

  • November 2016 to November 2026
  • 2,387 US stocks
  • Started with $50,000
  • 1 share per signal, cash only, exactly as the app trades

Live record

Vrot’s own paper account, day by day.

Not a replay: the real app trading a paper account, posted each day next to the S&P 500 (SPY) from the same start.

The live record starts soon. It will show every day, good or bad.

Paper money, not real money. Past results don’t predict future ones.

Read this too

What the numbers leave out.

  • Companies that failed

    The replay uses today’s list of stocks, so it leaves out companies that later failed. Real results would likely be lower.

  • The future

    Past results don’t predict future ones. It can lose money.

  • The 24/7 part

    It isn’t in this replay. Its trading model hasn’t shown an edge over a simple rule.

  • The learning model

    It watches every trade but has no proven skill yet, so it doesn’t change any trade.

Nothing on this page is financial advice. Please read the risk disclosure.

See it for yourself, on paper.

Run it on a free Alpaca paper account and watch what it does before you decide anything.